Pre-tourney Rankings
Murray St.
Ohio Valley
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#174
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#188
Pace62.2#336
Improvement+1.2#131

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#140
First Shot+1.9#123
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#217
Layup/Dunks+0.5#141
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#162
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#87
Freethrows-1.2#262
Improvement+5.5#4

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#226
First Shot-3.6#277
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#44
Layups/Dunks+1.8#102
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#328
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#220
Freethrows-1.4#262
Improvement-4.3#342
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2015 130   Middle Tennessee W 76-65 49%     1 - 0 +10.4 -0.4 +10.1
  Nov 20, 2015 62   @ Georgia L 52-63 13%     1 - 1 +0.6 -9.8 +9.9
  Nov 23, 2015 114   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 66-63 34%     2 - 1 +6.4 -5.9 +12.5
  Nov 24, 2015 129   Pepperdine W 59-55 38%     3 - 1 +6.4 -13.9 +20.3
  Nov 25, 2015 146   Weber St. L 59-75 43%     3 - 2 -15.0 -6.3 -10.2
  Nov 28, 2015 315   Alabama A&M W 63-61 88%     4 - 2 -11.3 -15.2 +4.1
  Dec 02, 2015 59   @ Houston L 78-93 12%     4 - 3 -2.8 +9.9 -13.2
  Dec 05, 2015 78   Evansville L 81-85 OT 32%     4 - 4 +0.1 +2.8 -2.3
  Dec 13, 2015 121   @ Illinois St. L 61-63 26%     4 - 5 +3.9 -0.1 +3.8
  Dec 18, 2015 135   Southern Illinois L 73-88 51%     4 - 6 -15.9 -5.7 -9.3
  Dec 22, 2015 145   @ Wright St. L 49-65 32%     4 - 7 -11.9 -13.3 -0.5
  Jan 02, 2016 144   Morehead St. W 62-57 53%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +3.4 +1.9 +2.5
  Jan 07, 2016 197   Tennessee Tech L 65-71 66%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -11.1 -12.0 +0.7
  Jan 09, 2016 293   Jacksonville St. W 69-54 85%     6 - 8 2 - 1 +3.3 +0.0 +5.4
  Jan 14, 2016 138   @ Belmont L 73-81 30%     6 - 9 2 - 2 -3.2 -1.0 -2.4
  Jan 16, 2016 167   @ Tennessee St. L 71-73 38%     6 - 10 2 - 3 +0.4 +4.2 -3.9
  Jan 21, 2016 264   Eastern Illinois W 68-58 79%     7 - 10 3 - 3 +0.7 -3.7 +5.4
  Jan 23, 2016 309   SIU Edwardsville W 70-54 87%     8 - 10 4 - 3 +3.1 +4.4 +1.3
  Jan 27, 2016 201   @ Eastern Kentucky W 75-71 46%     9 - 10 5 - 3 +4.3 +6.0 -1.3
  Jan 30, 2016 220   @ Tennessee Martin L 59-63 50%     9 - 11 5 - 4 -4.6 -3.4 -2.0
  Feb 04, 2016 338   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 78-72 83%     10 - 11 6 - 4 -4.7 +4.2 -8.7
  Feb 06, 2016 228   Austin Peay L 73-76 72%     10 - 12 6 - 5 -9.8 -2.9 -6.9
  Feb 11, 2016 309   @ SIU Edwardsville W 70-64 73%     11 - 12 7 - 5 -1.1 +3.0 -3.5
  Feb 13, 2016 338   Southeast Missouri St. W 83-56 92%     12 - 12 8 - 5 +10.4 +14.7 -0.7
  Feb 20, 2016 228   @ Austin Peay W 76-60 51%     13 - 12 9 - 5 +15.0 +12.3 +5.2
  Feb 25, 2016 264   @ Eastern Illinois L 74-85 60%     13 - 13 9 - 6 -14.5 -3.1 -11.1
  Feb 27, 2016 220   Tennessee Martin W 79-55 71%     14 - 13 10 - 6 +17.5 +14.9 +6.7
  Mar 02, 2016 264   Eastern Illinois W 78-62 71%     15 - 13 +9.6 +9.5 +1.8
  Mar 03, 2016 144   Morehead St. L 66-75 42%     15 - 14 -7.7 +3.0 -11.8
Projected Record 15.0 - 14.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%